Global equity broker Merrill Lynch has increased
its long-terms forecast for the platinum price, from US $450 an ounce
to US $500 per troy, and decreased its long-term forecast for the
palladium price to US$ 300 from US $ 320 per troy.
We see good balance in the platinum market (auto
catalysis and jewellery growth continues) that has lead us to raise
the long-term platinum price by US $ 50 to US $ 500 per troy,”
Merrill Lynch said in a research report.
Despite the current weak global environment, the
two key areas of platinum demand are strong auto catalysis, increasing
legislation drives demand, and jewellery. China in particular continues
to grow at an astounding pace.
In palladium, there is potential for oversupply
in the metal as other metals are being used as substitutes for palladium
in electronics and auto catalysis because of palladium`s high prices
in 2001.
In addition, Russia is believed to have significant
above ground stocks and is currently holding those stocks off the
market.
Platinum was fixed in London on 3rd of October
2002 p.m at US $ 558 and palladium at US $ 319 per troy.
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